O_o (Destiny)

by CruelLEGACEY , Toronto, Saturday, February 13, 2016, 14:08 (3300 days ago) @ Schedonnardus

Didn't the survey on Reddit determine that the Crimson Doubles drop rate on Ghosts was somewhere around 3%?

I have no idea, but both Xenos and jchapman were saying saying it was a pretty low rate. Reddit isn’t exactly hard science, though…

Reddit looked at over 4,000 matches. Though out of millions of players, that is a pretty small sample size.

I got 1 after 6 matches. I think nicholasflamel got one after 70 something matches.

(emphasis mine)

4000 matches may seem like a small number out of millions of players, but in the world of statistical analysis, sample sizes of roughly 1100 are generally considered more or less as accurate as much larger pools. In other words, once you've polled 1100 games of Crimson Doubles, the results should scale accurately within a percent or two. There's obviously more to it than that, other factors to consider... all I'm saying is that a sample size of 4000 games should give fairly accurate results in a case like this.